DraftAce Blog

Year round coverage of the NFL Draft.

Tuesday, April 28, 2009

Draft Grades: Broncos

The Broncos are a team without direction right now. First they sign three free agent running backs (J.J. Arrington, LaMont Jordan and Correll Buckhalter) and then they spend their 1st-round pick on Knowshon Moreno. He may develop into a quality starter, but it doesn't excuse the money wasted on the other three running backs.

Robert Ayers was a decent selection with their second 1st-round pick. However, it doesn't come without risk. He was a non-factor at Tennessee until his senior year and may not be best suited to play defensive end in Denver's 3-4 system.

The Broncos further compounded their problems by giving up next year's 1st-round pick to move up for Alphonso Smith. I do like Smith, but they gave up far to much acquire him. He should be an adequate starter, but wasn't worth the likely top-15 pick which Denver gave up.

Darcel McBath was a reach but it does add some much-needed depth to their secondary. He's a good athlete that could play strong or free safety at the next level. He could backup Brian Dawkins or compete with Reynaldo Hill for the starting job at free safety.

Richard Quinn was one of the biggest reaches of the draft. I wasn't surprised to see him off the board that high, but its a reach to take a blocking tight end in the 2nd round. He's a situational player, not the type of impact player that you need to land in the 1st and 2nd round.

I like the selection of David Bruton in the 4th round. I actually gave him a higher grade than Darcel McBath. He's a tremendous athlete, who's stock suffered at Notre Dame because he wasn't surrounded with enough talent. I believe he'll develop into a starter in a few years.

Seth Olsen was a reach in the 4th round. He has no upside and I don't see him as anything more than a backup.

Kenny McKinley was an excellent selection in the 5th round. He was one of the most productive receivers in South Carolina history despite suffering through multiple quarterback changes over the past few years. He could develop into a starter for the Broncos.

Tom Brandstater is a nice developmental prospect. He clearly looks the part of an NFL quarterback but he was very inconsistent at Fresno State. He may never amount to anything, but he's worth keeping around for a few years to see if he blossoms under the tutoledge of an NFL coaching staff.

7th-round pick Blake Schlueter will provide some depth, but nothing more. It isn't an exciting pick, but he should at least live up to expectations as a 7th-rounder.

The Broncos got some quality players in this draft. Moreno and Ayers should start from day one and Smith will certainly be in the competition for playing time. They also landed a few nice developmental prospect in David Bruton, Kenny McKinley and Tom Brandstater. I would be willing to give them a higher grade if they hadn't sacrificed next year's 1st-round pick for Smith.

Grade: B

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Tuesday, April 21, 2009

Draft Class: Running Backs

Yesterday I went through my list of the top 10 quarterback prospects. Today its time for the running backs.

Chris Wells tops my draft board, and it's an easy decision. No other play in the draft has his combination of size, speed and athleticism. He has the same potential as recent top-10 picks Adrian Peterson and Darren McFadden, but injury concerns will likely cause teams to pass over him early in round one.

Donald Brown, who has steadily risen up the draft board, is number two on my board. It was a tough decision to move him ahead of Knowshon Moreno, but in the end I would be more comfortable making Brown a feature back in my offense. He's every bit as athletic as Moreno and I love his work ethic. He's a coaches dream, which could easily cause some team to fall in love with him and select him higher than expected.

Moreno is the third running back on the board, receiving a late 1st-round grade. I rate him slightly lower than Brown only because of Brown's exceptional work ethic and attitude. That isn't to say that Moreno has character concerns by any means, its simply a reflection of Brown's willingness to go above and beyond what is expected of him. Moreno is an elite athlete, but I have questions about his toughness. He isn't the type that can run between the tackles, meaning he needs to be paired with another bigger, stronger running back to be truly effective.

LeSean McCoy ranks 4th on my board, receiving an early 2nd-round grade. I like McCoy, but I'm concerned about his running style. A bit reckless and I wonder how he'll hold up at the next level. His instincts aren't great and he doesn't always hit holes as they open up. I would have liked to see him stay in school for at least another year to work on that. He's worth a second round pick, but I don't think he'll be a Matt Forte-like prospect that steps in and makes an immediate impact.

Andre Brown ranks 5th and receives a 3rd-round grade. Brown has risen up the board this offseason, to the point where I feel he is now overrated. He has an NFL body but there are serious injury concerns. I don't see him as the type that can carry the load at the next level. However, if paired with a more athletic outside runner (a Knowshon Moreno, for example) he could be a nice complimentary back.

Also receiving a 3rd-round grade is Shonn Greene. This past season for the Hawkeyes Greene played like a 1st rounder. He's a power runner that builds up a head of steam and is tough to bring down. However, I have concerns about the fact that he only played one year at the D-I level and is already 24. The fact that we haven't really seen a full body of work from him gives me hesitation and I would prefer to wait until the 3rd-round to select him where I would be satisfied if all he turns out to be is an adquate backup.

I gave Rashad Jennings a 3rd-round grade for similar reasons as Greene. Coming from an FCS program, we haven't seen what Jennings can do against top competition. We know he has the size to take his game to the next level, but will he still be a force when going up against bigger defenders. Ultimately I think the answer is no, but I would be willing to take a chance on him in the late 3rd-round.

Jeremiah Johnson intrigues me. He's undersized but he was nothing but productive when on the field in 2008. Durability is an issue, but I would be willing to take a chance in the late 3rd-round. He could be a nice backup at the next level.

Gartrell Johnson receives a 4th-round grade, but I think he's one of the top sleepers in this draft class. He's an absolute beast with the football in his hands. He's a powerful downhill runner and actually has more speed on the field that you'd expect from his forty time. He probably isn't going to be a starter in the NFL, but he'll find a place a short-yardage back and could be the type of touchdown vulture that makes a big impact in fantasy leagues.

Rounding out my top 10 is Javon Ringer. Early in the 2008 season Ringer was taking full advantage of his first year as the full-time starter and looked like a potential 1st-round pick. However, he came down to earth when matched up against legitimate collegiate defenses such as Penn State and Ohio State and his stock took a nose dive. Ringer can be productive, but he simply doesn't have the build to be a starter at the next level. He likes to run between the tackles, but his frame simply won't hold up with that type of pounding in the NFL.

So there you go... my top 10 running backs fo 2009.

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