DraftAce Blog

Year round coverage of the NFL Draft.

Sunday, May 3, 2009

Draft Grades: Bengals

If nothing else, give the Bengals credit for taking risks... lots of them.

Andre Smith has a ton of potential, but no 1st-round pick has as many red flags as Smith. His work ethic is a serious concern and he very well could fold once he receives his first NFL contract. Its a risky pick and one that would only by made by a coach on the hot seat such as Marvin Lewis.

Rey Maualuga is also a risky pick. Many believe that he is only a two-down player, which led to his fall out of the 1st round. Like Smith, however, its a pick that could have a ton of upside.

The Bengals took a leap of faith with their first two picks, so why should the third be any different. Michael Johnson is the most athletic defensive lineman in this draft class, but he was only a full-time starter for one year and failed to live up to expectations as a senior. That said, he's probably worth the risk in the 3rd round.

Chase Coffman is a great fit in Cincinnati. He could be the receiving threat at tight end they've been looking for. He should see significant playing time from day one.

Jonathan Luigs is another solid pick. The Bengals have a serious hole at center and Luigs will be give the opportunity to step in from day one.

Kevin Huber was the top punter in this year's draft class and should be the Bengals starter. Punters are hard to judge though, and I think the 5th round is almost always too early to select a special teams player.

Morgan Trent will add some depth to the Bengals weak secondary, but he doesn't have much upside. He struggled as a senior at Michigan and I don't see him making an impact in Cincinnati.

Bernard Scott is a shot in the dark. He's a decent small school running back that will be given a chance to make the team as the third string running back.

Fui Vakapuna will compete with Daniel Coats and Jeremi Johnson for playing time at fullback. Fullback isn't a strong point on the team, so he's worth a shot.

Clinton McDonald doesn't have much upside, but he'll some depth the Bengals depleted defensive line. He won't be a starter, but could work into the rotation.

The Bengals needed a receiver in this draft, but I'm not sure why they waited until their last pick. Freddie Brown will struggle to make the roster and even if he does, he won't fill the hole left by the departure of T.J. Houshmandzadeh.

The Bengals landed some very talented players in this draft, including three potential 6 potential starters (including Kevin Huber). However, each of their first three picks come with some baggage. If all three live up to potential, this will be an elite draft. However, this is the Bengals, and they don't exactly have a good track record developing young talent.

Grade: B

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Friday, April 17, 2009

Bills, Eagles Agree on Jason Peters Trade

In a trade that has been in the works for the past week, the Bills have agreed to send Jason Peters to the Eagles in exchange for three draft picks.

The Bills were left with almost no choice in the matter, but this trade is devastating to their hopes of making a serious playoff run in the near future. Peters, a two-time Pro Bowler, was developing into a truly elite left tackle. And remember, having played tight end in college, he's still perfecting the left tackle positions which he has been playing for just five seasons.

From the Eagles point of view, however, this trade is a steal. They give up a 1st-round pick (28th overall), 4th-round pick (121st overall) and an undisclosed pick in 2010. Its a decent sum, but the fact that they still hold a 1st-round pick this year eases the loss considerably. The Eagles had hoped to land an offensive tackle with one of those picks, which they accomplished. The 21st pick can now be spent on either Brandon Pettigrew or a running back (Knowshon Moreno?).

So where do the Bills go from here? The left side of their line is in shambles. Demetrius Bell (2008 7th-round selection) is their top internal candidate at left tackle. Kirk Chambers is slotted in at left guard for now, filling the hole left by the release of Derrick Dockery.

With one of their two 1st-round picks the Bills must address the offensive line. The most logical selection is to take Michael Oher 11th overall (or Andre Smith if he's available). Defensive end is still a need, put can easily be filled with the 28th pick. Guys like Connor Barwin and Michael Johnson will be realistic options in the late 1st round.

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Thursday, April 16, 2009

Breaking Down the Browns Trade Rumors

The team controlling the shape of the 1st round right now is the Cleveland Browns. Already owning the 5th overall selection, the Browns could land two more picks by draft day.

The first rumor, which has been widely reported for the past two weeks, is that they will send Braylon Edwards to the Giants for some combination of a 1st-round pick, 3rd-round pick and Steve Smith or Dominick Hixon. This would be a controversial move for the Browns, who have a legitimate playoff caliber-offense when everyone is healthy. Shipping Edwards off to New York would make either David Patten or Josh Cribbs the top receiver on the depth chart (at least until they select Crabtree 5th overall, that is). If the Giants are able to land Anquan Boldin, however, the Browns have to pass on Crabtree and select either a linebacker (Aaron Curry, Brian Orakpo, Aaron Maybin) or tackle (Eugene Monroe or Jason Smith - whoever falls).

The other rumor is sure to make even more waves around the league if it comes to fruition. The 49ers are reportedly interested in Brady Quinn and could offer the Browns the 10th overall pick. Its tough to say who the Browns would target with this selection. A linebacker is certainly an option, but not if they select one 5th overall. This could be where they address the offensive line with Andre Smith or Michael Oher. Or they could go with the best available defensive player (B.J. Raji? Malcolm Jenkins?)

Its all speculation at this point, as you simply can't trust any rumors you hear this time of year, but its safe to assume the Browns are at least discussing these trade options which could shake up the 1st round.

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Monday, March 30, 2009

Myth Busters: Why Andre Smith Won't Be A Top 10 Pick?

For full disclosure, I didn't give Andre Smith a top 10 grade even before the combine. Offseason mishaps aside, I believe he lacks the quickness and general athleticism to play the left tackle position. He could be a very good right tackle or guard, but the money rewarded to top 10 picks is well above the pay grade for those positions.

However, even if you believe he can play left tackle and was deserving of a top 10 pick, his postseason workouts and shenanigans at the combine should have convinced you otherwise. In the end, Smith will fall out of the top 10 and possibly all the way into the late first round.

Here's why...

1) The supply outweighs the demand. Jason Smith and Eugene Monroe have already solidified their place in the top 10 and Michael Oher isn't far behind. Any team that is desperate for a tackle - perhaps the Bengals, Raiders or 49ers - should be able to get their hands one of those three players if they want. A simple trade up or a reach for Oher would get the job done. There is no need to take a major risk on a boom-or-bust prospect like Smith.

2) The character red flags are all over the place. He isn't the next Pacman Jones, but there is definitely reason to question his commitment to the game. When asked why he chose to play left tackle, he said it was because he learned it was the most well-paid position in the NFL. Smith has lacked the motivation to get in shape this offseason during the most important time of his life. Do you really believe he'll suddenly find motivation after he signs a multi-million dollar contract?

3) A combination of the first two: the teams that could make him a top 10 pick should know better than to take the risk. As I mentioned, the three teams most likely to make him a top 10 pick are the Bengals (can't take on another "character concern" for obvious reasons), the Raiders (want to avoid the next Robert Gallery) and 49ers (have experienced far too many 1st-round busts in recent years: Woods, Smith, Davis).

The earliest Smith will come off the board is No. 13 to Washington, but even that is no guarantee. His next best options are No. 16 to San Diego, No. 20 to Detroit (if they pass on Jason Smith) and No. 21 to Philadelphia.

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Thursday, March 12, 2009

Andre Smith's Pro Day

Alabama has a number of top prospects, but all eyes were on offensive tackle Andre Smith. After showing up at the combine overweight and unprepared, and then leaving early, Smith had a lot to prove. Overall, it was a mediocre performance.

His workout numbers weren't very impressive (5.33 forty, 19 reps on the bench). However, he reportedly looked very good in positional drills. It was probably enough to save his place in the mid-first round, but the questions about his ability to play left tackle remain unanswered.

I personally do not think he's a left tackle, and therefor is not worthy of a top 10 pick. He reminds me of Shawn Andrews, a very reliable guard with the potential to play right tackle.

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